It’s that time again. Our Annual proposition plays. We went 4-1 in our inaugural year. Essentially, if the game result is close to what you think it will be, then you can usually find out some very favorable propositions. Here are my top 5 value props for this weekend. There are some props I like better, but when you take into consideration the juice you’re laying, these are my top 5 plays.
1> Peyton Manning WILL throw a 3rd quarter TD (+145) – As he showed in the Jets game, once he figures out what you’re trying to do on defense, Manning figures a way to carve you apart. I will take the Colts adjustments on offense over any defensive adjustments by the Saints. To get almost 1.5:1 on your money is a steal in my mind. LOSER
2> Drew Brees OVER 285.5 yds passing (-115) – I predict a Colts rout (35-17), so that means New Orleans will have to abandon the run and throw often. This goes hand in hand with my 3rd favorite prop. WINNER
3> Saints rushing yards under 100.5 (-115) – see #2 WINNER
4> Joseph Addai over 63.5 yds rushing (-105) – A big Colts lead will result in a lot of 4th quarter carries for Addai. Thus I also like the over in his rush attempts (15.5), but this prop has less juice right now WINNER
5> Shaquille O’Neal pts + rbs over 2nd quarter points (-115) – Shaq isn’t what he used to be, but he still gets 12 points and 7 rbs per game. This means the teams will need 3 TD’s in the 2nd quarter. Not impossible, but if they did this every quarter, there would be 84 points. I’ll take my chances with Shaq. Also, he has the ability to get 30+ combined, which would be an easy win. WINNER
4-1…not a bad day at the office. Matches last year’s prop picks. Maybe I should just bet once a year and bet heavily? The final score prediction was close, but flip flopped.
Best of luck! My final prediction is 35-17 Indianapolis. They are just too polished on offense.
Scooter
