Day one was a profitable one (plus 3 units) despite our big plays not coming through. A last second 3 by Wofford helped heal the sting of Butler’s last second win in the early game. Time to improve on my 10-6 record.
Long Island vs North Carolina (-17.5 o/u 158.5)
For those of you who like points, this is the game for you. Both teams prefer a fast tempo and if Long Island has any chance, they need to keep the pace fast because North Carolina’s size advantage is tremendous. Long Island may stay close early as Carolina has been known as a slow starter. This is a tough one to call with the big number. It all depends on how LIU shoots the ball. I’d lean towards LIU because Carolina is still young and doesn’t have the killer instinct.
North Carolina moneygram texas 102 LIU 90 (2 units on the over) WON 2 units
Georgia vs Washington (-5.5 o/u 139.5)
A very interesting matchup between 2 talented teams that have underachieved in my mind. Washington is deeper and can beat you in more ways. Washington usually goes as Isaiah Thomas goes and that makes them a hard team to wager on or against. The only common opponent was Kentucky, whom Georgia beat and Washington lost to. Both games were early in the year which doesn’t mean a lot. Due to Washington’s mediocre defense, I will take Georgia on a hunch.
Georgia 67 Washington 66 (1 unit on Georgia +5.5) WON 1 unit
Hampton vs Duke (-23 o/u 134.5)
I honestly don’t know anything about Hampton, so I will stay away from this one.
Tennessee vs Michigan (+2 o/u 127.5)
Another very intriguing matchup. Two talented teams with jeckyl and hyde characteristics. Bruce Pearl’s teams are always undisciplined, but they work hard and win more often than not thanks to their helter skelter pace. Michigan has been on a roll and have a super star in the making with Darius Morris. His ability to get his own shot will be the difference in this one, along with Michigan’s solid defense.
Michigan 58 Tennessee 53 (2 units on Michigan +2…3 units on the under) WON 2/WON 3
Texas San Antonio vs Ohio St (-23.5 o/u 138)
Ohio St is a mismatch for most teams. I don’t like to lay big numbers, but in this case I will.
Ohio St 90 Texas SA 60 (1 unit on Ohio St -23.5) WON 1
Villanova vs George Mason (+1 o/u 135)
Two very evenly matched teams, and the line reflects that. Nova has struggled as of late, but the early exit from the Big East tournament gave their stars a much needed rest. George Mason is a well coached team that knows how to play together. Like many mid-majors, buy generic acomplia they’re undersized, but their quickness could give Nova problems. Since George Mason is used to winning, I have to take them.
George Mason 76 Villanova 74 (1 unit on George Mason…2 units on the over) WON 1/Lost 2.2
Indiana St vs Syracuse (-12.5 o/u 129)
They Sycamores were a surprise winner of the Missouri Valley tournament. The Syracuse zone is tough to conquer if you haven’t seen it before. I also like the fact that they have a solid backcourt and good rebounding. Syracuse has final 4 potential in my mind, so I will gladly lay the points.
Syracuse 71 Indiana St 56 (4 units on Syracuse -12.5) WON 4
Marquette vs Xavier (-2.5 o/u 140.5)
Until they lost by 25 in the conference tournament, Marquette has been in every game they’ve played this year in the tough big east. They can score at will against man defenses, which is what Xavier plays most of the time. They have also faired well against teams led by a dominant guard (UConn and ND), which is what Xavier is. Marquette would be wise to go with a small lineup, as Freese will not be able to keep up with whomever he guards. This should be a fast paced game and all signs point towards Marquette for me.
Marquette 83 Xavier 74 (4 units on Marquette +2.5…2 units over 140.5) WON 4/Lost 2.2
Akron vs Notre Dame (-14 o/u 136)
Notre Dame is one of my final 4 teams. I love their senior make up and the fact they have a clear go to scorer in Hansbrough. The Zips battled Kent St for the MAC crown and both teams are very capable of hanging with the big boys. Kent proved it by winning at St Mary’s in the NIT. I think the Zips will keep this one close all game.
Notre Dame 77 Akron 73 (3 units on Akron +14) WON 3
Florida St vs Texas A&M (-1.5 o/u 122)
Florida struggled down the stretch thanks to the loss of Chris Singleton. His return should be a good spark for the Seminoles. I like the strong guard play of the Aggies led by BJ Holmes. I also feel the Big 12 is a stronger conference than the ACC which prepared the Aggies better for the tournament.
Texas A&M 64 Florida St 55 (2 units on Texas A&M) LOST levitra buying 2.2
St Peters vs Purdue (-14.5 o/u 120)
A match up between two strong defensive ampicillin 500 teams. The slow pace will allow St Peters to hang around, but Purdue has way too much talent for them to overcome. I don’t like the high spread and low total. The low total indicates the underdog has a good chance to cover, but I’m staying away from this.
Purdue 64 St Peters 54 (no action)
VCU vs Georgetown (-5.5 o/u 133.5)
This one is hard to predict because you don’t know how healthy Chris Wright is and how effective he’ll be after the long layoff. If he was 100% and in game shape, I’d like the Hoyas. If he was out, I’d like VCU. I will just stay away from this, but I lean slightly towards VCU.
Georgetown 70 VCU 67 ( no action )
Memphis vs Arizona (-5.5 o/u 139.5)
I like to go with experience in the tournament, and neither of these teams have it. Then it comes down to talent and coaching. Both have talent, but Derek Williams is by far the most talented player on the floor. Memphis does not have a good interior defense, so advantage Wildcats. I also think Arizona has the coaching advantage, so lay the points.
Arizona 76 Memphis 58 (4 units on Arizona) LOST 4.4
Oakland vs Texas (-10.5 o/u 154)
Oakland is hot, Texas is not. Both teams feature strong front courts, but Oakland has the backcourt advantage. Texas plays solid defense, but their weakness as of late has been the outside shooting. I lean towards Oakland, but do so with caution. I think the under is the better play here.
Texas 75 Oakland 68 (1 unit on Oakland…3 units on under 154) WON 1/Lost 3.3
Boston vs Kansas (-22.5 o/u 136)
Kansas is the one team that has as much balance as Ohio St. However, as stated in the OSU writeup, I don’t like to lay big numbers like this.
Kansas 82 Boston 68 (no action)
Illinois vs UNLV (-2.5 o/u 132.5)
Both of these teams have somewhat under achieved this season and had to make the dance with an at large bid. Both have plenty of talent and senior leadership. It may be a big 10 bias, but I’m siding with the Illini in this one because of McCamey. He has great ability, but he doesn’t always apply it. I’m banking on the urgency of tournament play to get him motivated to bring his A game. If he continues to just go through the motions, then it will probably lead to a UNLV victory.
Illinois 71 UNLV 66 (2 units on Illinois +2.5) Won 2
37 units on the line
Todays record: 11-5 (21-11 overall)
unit w/l: +9.7 (+12.7 overall round 1)
Thursday total: +3.0
Friday total: +9.7