Last week we had our 3rd straight winning week with a 4-2 record to bring our season total up to 19-16-2. Just like last year, we started slow and are coming on strong. Maybe we should wait 4 or 5 weeks next year before posting picks? What fun would that be?

Min/Car under 48 – Carolina has been in a shoot out every week. Newton and company are tough to stop. I just don’t see Minnesota being able to score 20+ against this defense and I doubt Carolina will get more than 28. WIN

Baltimore -13 – Monday they ran into a buzzsaw Jags defense. Rice should tear apart the Cardinals defense. Baltimore may win by 30. LOSS

Detroit -3 – Tim Tebow stinks, and he proved it last week. The Lions will be too far ahead for Tebow to will his team to victory. Without McGahee to run the ball, the Broncos will have a tough time moving the ball. WIN

Cle/SF under 38.5 – Cleveland showed last week, they don’t have much of an offense. They will face a tougher defense this week. San Fran doesn’t have the type of offense to get 30 points, so I feel confident in this over. Add to that the tough wind conditions usually found in SF. WIN

Philadelphia -3.5 – Reid never loses after a bye week. The Eagles, as over hyped as they are, still have a much better team than Dallas. Vick should have a field day against the Cowboys secondary. As long as the Eagles slow down the shooting star known as DeMarco Murray, they should come out on top. WIN

San Diego -3.5 (play of the week) – Get this line in early, because it’s bound to be a public play. San Diego has been, and still are the class of the NFC West. KC had a perfect storm last week facing 2 qb’s who weren’t ready to be on an NFL field. San Diego is burning from their loss to the Jets when they failed to show up in the 2nd half. Look for Rivers to regain his old form. LOSS

This week: 4-2
Overall: 23-18-2

Almost happy with a .500 week last week. 16-24 overall is not good at all, but college football has always been our worst sport over the years.

Rice/Houston over 70.5 (Thursday) win

SMU +3 Loss

Nebraska -4 Win

Georgia Tech +4 WIn

Mizzou/A&M over 61.5 WIn

Wisconsin -7.5 Loss

UTEP +10 Loss

Memphis/UCF under 48.5 Win

Oklahoma ST -14 Win

This week: 6-3
Overall: 22-27

We kept the winning trend going last week (4-2) and are now above .500 for the year. Tough week this week.

Wash/Car under 43.5 – two solid defenses. Beck getting his first start of the year will cause issued for the Skins offense. Games on grass are a slower pace and both teams like to run. LOSS

SD/NYJ over 43.5 – Weather concerns me some. Beware of high winds if you play this. Dolphins had receivers open a lot of the game Monday, but Matt Moore is not an NFL qb and the Dolphins wr’s aren’t so hot. Chargers are back to full strength this week. Jets should be able to put up at least 17 against San Diego’s average defense. WIN

Tenn -3 – Still fading Houston with Johnson and Williams out. Their offense is just average without him and the defense may be below average without a pass rush. Look for Chris Johnson to have his legs back and give you his 2nd 100 yard game of the season. LOSS

KC +5 – Been a lot of buzz around the Raiders lately. They are winning thanks to defense and McFadden. Al Davis’ death has also brought added attention. Now this week, they give up way to much (in my opinion) for Carson Palmer. Carson updates their talent at qb, but doesn’t necessarily make them better. I like KC to win outright this week. Coming off a bye and their passing game is producing lately which is the Raiders defensive weakness. Only a huge game from McFadden (possible) will allow the Raiders to win. Palmer doesn’t know enough of the playbook to be effective. WIN

Pittsburgh -4 – Don’t like laying more than a fg on the road in the NFL, however I just can’t help it. Pittsburgh is always supposed to be good and Arizona bad. Probably a trap game, but this mouse likes cheese. WIN

Dallas -13 – Rams secondary is banged up and not good. Dallas is back to full strength at WR with Austin and Bryant back. I look for Dallas to put up over 30 this week and St Louis wouldn’t be able to match this with a healthy bradford. With a gimpy bradford or a terrible AJ Feely, the Rams could be shut out. Blowout city! WIN

This week: 4-2
Season: 19-16-2

We kept our bad trend in college picks…not good enough to follow and not bad enough to fade. 2-4 last week. 13-21 overall

UAB +16.5 (Thursday night) WIn

West Virginia -14 (Friday Night) Loss

Clemson -10.5 Win

Illinois -4 (play of the week) Loss

Oklahoma St -7 Win

Wisconsin -7.5 Loss

This week: 3-3
overall: 16-24 (40%)

Finally had a few breaks go our way with last minute drives NOT resulting in TD’s to cost us money. Overall record is now 11-12-2 after last week’s 3-2 record.

Phil -1.5 (play of the week) – Vick and crew are sick of losing. Redskins can run the ball, but not well enough to outscore the eagles. As ugly as the Eagles defense has been this year, this one could be just as ugly for the Redskins. WIN

Detroit -4.5 – this is a prime spot for a Detroit let down, but I think SF has the worse spot. They were on the east coast two weeks in a row…home for one…now back in the eastern time zone. Most importantly, their offensive line can’t contain the Lions front 4 and they are also short on WR’s. Look for the Detroit bandwagon to keep rolling on.
LOSS
Car/Atl over 50.5 – Carolina has been in shootouts every week. Falcons lost Julio Jones, but still have plenty of weapons on offense. LOSS

Balt -8 - Houston will continue to struggle without their top WR. Now they must also deal with the loss of Mario Williams. Houston’s dream season is being bombarded with injuries. Look for the Ravens and Ray Rice to roll. WIN

Tampa Bay +4.5 – Saints are on their 3rd straight road trip, which is never an easy thing for NFL teams to do. The Saints are also much worse on grass. Tampa has a lot to prove after being humbled by the 49ers last week when they had short rest. I believe Tampa will win outright. WIN

Mia/NYJ under 42.5 – Miami has no punch on offense, which is what the Jets defense will prey upon. I don’t see the Jets scoring more than 35, so as much as I like the Jets, I think the under is the better play in case the Jets stagnant offense continues. WIN

This week: 4-2
overall: 15-14-2

Not a good September as we went 11-17 in the college game. Now we hunt for a black october!

Cincinnati -15 Loss

Baylor +8.5 Loss

Michigan/Michigan St over 49 Loss

UTEP +1.5 Win

Tulsa -21 Loss

Arizona St +14.5 Win

This week: 2-4
Overall: 13-21

With 6 teams on bye and a lot of close games, this week has turned into an over/under week.

Oakland +6 – Jason Campbell has been playing well, and now he has his full arsenal with Ford, Moore and Heyward-Bey all healthy. McFadden is still their best player and will get most of the touches, but the speed on the outside will be set up for some big plays. Houston plays their first game without Andre Johnson, so unless Foster runs wild, their offense will probably struggle.
WIN
Tennessee/Pittsburgh under 39.5 – this number is much higher than I expected, which worries me a little. Two pretty conservative offenses and both with solid defenses. Pittsburgh is banged up and has struggled against the run, so with the under, you hope Tennessee gets an early lead and gets even more conservative.
LOSS
San Francisco -3 (play of the day) – Tampa has a short rest week and has to travel cross country. That’s enough for me. Add to it that the 49ers are playing well and are buying what Jim Harbaugh is selling WIN

Green Bay/Atlanta over 53 – The Packers offense is unstoppable, especially on turf. Atlanta has plenty of weapons to take advantage of the Packers inexperience at safety. There were a ton of points in last years playoff game, and I don’t expect anything different in this one
LOSS
Chicago/Detroit under 47.5 – Bears got the running game going last week which led to a high point total. They won’t be able to run on Detroit. That means a long day for Cutler. The cover 2 should slow down Detroit enough to keep this under the number. WIN

This week: 3-2
Season: 11-12-2

Another 2-5 week last Saturday. I guess that’s why we don’t consider college football our strong suit?

Kent St +17 L

Arizona -2 (play of the week) L

Buffalo +8.5 W

Arkansas -10 W

Northwestern +7.5 L

Baylor -15 W

Nebraska -11 L

Week record: 3-4
Overall: 11-17