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Archive for the 'NCAA Basketball' Category

NCAA round 1 top 5

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 18th, 2010

I always like a ton of games, but I’ve narrowed it down to my top 5 for round 1.

favorite play: Wake Forest +4.5 vs Texas (Thursday) Winna!

Texas has lost their top 2 point guards to season ending injuries and have struggled ever since. Good guard play wins in the NCAA’s and Wake has a big advantage here. Wake also has an NBA first round talent in Amini who will give Texas’s front line fits. Wake will win outright.

Michigan St -13 vs New Mexico St (Friday)

All Izzo does in the tournament is win. I believe he is unbeaten in NCAA round 1 games. New Mexico St plays no defense so I expect Michigan St to score at least 90. I don’t see the Spartans allowing more than 75 to anyone, especially NMSt, so I like the Spartans to cover this big line.

Marquette/Washington over 143
(Thursday) Winna!

Both teams love to run and push the pace. Neither are great defensively, but both teams can shoot and put up a lot of points. It will be a fun game to watch and as much as I like Marquette in this one, the safer play is to take the over.

Texas A&M -3 vs Utah St (Friday)

In a battle of Aggies vs Aggies, I feel the big school is going to push around the little school. Utah St has an impressive record, but they haven’t beaten anyone. Texas A&M is a talented team who finished the season strong. They won easily against Texas and OK St (both in the tournament) and had close losses on the road against Baylor and Kansas. Donald Sloan (A&M) has plenty of tournament experience and is a great scorer. A&M will win by double digits

San Diego St +3 vs Tennessee (Thursday) Push

I’m surprised this line is as low as it is since the public seems to love Tennessee to make a run in the tournament. San Diego St is a balanced and athletic team whose strength (rebounding) is one of Tennessee’s weaknesses. Bruce Pearl’s teams are always undisciplined and he’s not a good x’s and o’s coach. Steve Fischer has won in the NCAA’s before and his team won’t be intimidated by the spotlight. I expected SDSU to win outright.

Record:2-0-1

Last day of free NCAA picks

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 14th, 2010

A split decision yesterday as the underdogs prevailed once again. Looks like we’ll end up with a profitable season, but not profitable enough for our liking.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/14/10: 28-21-1 +4.9 units
Season: 89-80-5 +1.0 units

Richmond +4 vs Temple

It’s been a weekend for the dogs, and the Spiders will fill that role once again today. Both teams are very solid and will be in the tournament regardless. It will be a low scoring affair which will most likely be decided by the last possession.

Georgia Tech +8.5 vs Duke

Pre-Season, Georgia Tech was picked by many to contend for the ACC title. They’ve been very inconsistent thanks to Lawal getting into foul trouble and young players like Rice and Favors being inconsistent. They are finally clicking on all cylinders and to me, they are of equal talent to Duke. This line is way to high thus this is my favorite play of the day.

Kentucky -7 vs Mississippi St

With four games today, you’d think at least one favorite has to win and cover. My pick is the Wildcats. They have yet to be tested in the tournament and Cousins will not be intimidated by Vernado. Vernado has a tendency to get into foul trouble and he’ll have his hands full today. Nobody has the quickness to stay with Wall and Bledsoe and when you can’t stop penetration, it’s hard to stop anyone. This one could get ugly early.

Record: 0-0

NCAA Tournament picks 3/13/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball, Uncategorized on March 13th, 2010

Yesterday we made back what we lost Thursday and then some. I don’t have time to type up my analysis in these games. You’ll just have to trust me.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 25-18-1 +5.2 units
Season: 86-77-5 +1.3 units

UTEP -7 vs Houston L

Illinois +8 vs Ohio St W

Vanderbilt -2 vs Mississippi St L

Akron -1 vs Ohio L

San Diego St +5
vs UNLV W

New Mexico St +9.5 vs Utah St W

Record 3-3

NCAA tournament picks 3/12/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 12th, 2010

What a rough day yesterday. Not a good day for favorites.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 20-17-1 +1.3 units
Season: 81-76-5 -2.6 units

Virginia +17 vs Duke (11 am) W

Virginia has been playing well and their slow style of play should easily keep this game around a 10 point margin. There haven’t been many blowouts in the tournament games so far, so taking the points is usually a good bet.

Illinois +8.5 vs Wisconsin (1:20 pm in Indianapolis) W

The teams each won on the others home court. Illinois has a lot more on the line than Wisconsin and I feel Wisconsin is only slightly better than Illinois largely in part to coaching. I think this will be a close game decided in the last few minutes, so take the points.

Tennessee -1 vs Mississippi (2 pm) W

Succinctly…the Vols are the better team and they have a game under their belt to get used to the arena settings.

Dayton/Xavier over 134 (5:30 pm) W

Based soley on the previous two meetings this year, which both went over 150 points.

Massachusetts +9.5 vs Richmond (8 pm) W

UMass is playing well with two upset wins to end the season. Richmond doens’t need to win to make the field of 64, so take the points.

Akron -4.5 vs Western Michigan (6 pm) L

Class of the MAC against a first round surprise. This is an awfully low line, but I’m still taking it.

Record: 5-1

NCAA Premier Picks 3/11/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 11th, 2010

Today officially begins the March Madness in my mind. All the big conferences are starting their tournaments so there’s good games all day long. Sit back, enjoy the games, and make good investments.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 19-13-1 +4.7 units
Season: 80-72-5 +0.8 units

Syracuse -4.5 vs Georgetown (11 am) L

Strong System play

Wake Forest -4 vs Miami-Fl (1:20 pm) L

Wake has been playing well and is the more talented team with more at stake. Miami is undisciplined and lacks true scorers.

Michigan -7.5 vs Iowa (1:30 pm) L

Michigan has struggled with Beilein’s staple 1-3-1 defense, but they still have a lot of offensive talent. Iowa has very little talent. Expect a blowout early and an easy win for the Wolverines.

Tennessee -12 vs LSU (2:20 pm) L

The Vols have been rolling now that they are past the ugly off court incident from earlier this season. LSU has been poor all season long and I don’t expect much of an effort out of them.

Georgia Tech -3.5 vs North Carolina (6 pm) W

Tech has handled the Tarheels in both of their contests and this one should be the same result. You need good guards to win in college and UNC definitely lacks guard play.

Record: 1-4

NCAA Premier Picks 3/10/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 10th, 2010

Our tournament week got off to a decent start. Two easy wins and a blowout loss.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 16-12-1 +2.8 units
Season: 77-71-5 -1.1 units

South Florida +7.5 vs Georgetown L

The Bulls are on a roll and have already defeated the Hoyas earlier this season. I like Georgetown to win a close one, so take the points.

St Johns/Marquette under 126 W

The last game at St John’s went OT and still didn’t reach 126. Marquette has been shooting poorly lately and St Johns is offensively challenged. You won’t see many open shots with these two good defending teams.

Iowa St +9 vs Texas W

System play

Oklahoma St -6.5 vs Oklahoma W

OK St is the much better team and they dominated the second half in their last meeting. I see a double digit win here.

Record: 3-1

NCAA Premier Picks 3/9/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 9th, 2010

Conference tournaments are all that’s left, so that means afternoon games for the next few days. Be sure to check our picks early.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 14-11-1 +2.0 units
Season: 75-70-5 -2.0 units

St John’s +4 vs UConn (at MSG 1:30 pm) W

The Johnnies are not only the home team, but I feel they are the better team. As of last week, some so called experts still had UConn in their 64 team field despite their 7-10 conference record. This is based on reputation only as this team is not very good. St Johns will win outright.

Providence/Seton Hall over 166 (at MSG) W

Providence likes to press and push the pace. Seton Hall loves to shoot and definitely won’t try to slow it down. Being in MSG, both teams will try to put on a show and score 100+. If you get any number below 170, I like the over.

Wright St +7 @ Butler (Horizon championship) L

I’m typically not a conspiracy theory guy, but part of my reasoning with this pick is a conspiracy theory. Butler is in the field of 64 no matter what happens in this game. So why wouldn’t a part of Coach Brad Peters want Wright St to win so the conference can have 2 teams in the big dance? Regardless of this, Wright St is playing well and will keep this a low scoring game. They NEED to win this in order to make the dance, so the urgency is there. Butler has struggled as of late, so I like the points.

Record: 2-1

NCAA Premier Picks 3/6/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 6th, 2010

This is one of the last big slates we’ll have for a while. It’s the true start to March Madness as we’re shooting for the moon with our most plays of the year.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 11-8-1 +2.3 units
Season: 72-67-5 -1.7 units

Florida St +2 @ Miami L

Maryland -5 @ Virginia W

Tulsa +7 @ Memphis L

Louisville +1.5 vs Syracuse W

Marquette -7.5 vs Notre Dame L

Washington -3.5 @ Oregon St W

Record: 3-3

NCAA Premier Picks 3/5/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 5th, 2010

Now that the conference tournaments are here, the pickings are a little slim, and the trends get thrown out the window.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 10-7-1 +2.4 units
Season: 71-66-5 -1.6 units

Creighton -3.5 vs Bradley @ St Louis L

Detroit -2 vs UW-Green Bay @ Butler W

Record: 1-1

NCAA Premier Picks 3/4/10

Posted in NCAA Basketball on March 4th, 2010

SPEED BUMP! We’re over it now. Time to get back to winners.

Totals for 2/27/10 thru 3/12/10: 9-6-1 +2.5 units
Season: 70-65-5 -1.5 units

Buffalo +2.5 @ Miami OH L

Richmond -3.5 vs Dayton W

Record: 1-1